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Gold/Mining/Energy : Coeur d'Alene Mining (CDE)
CDE 15.14-11.8%9:30 AM EST

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To: D.Austin who wrote (556)9/25/2002 8:30:25 AM
From: D.Austin   of 621
 
important points that must be read......
The problem with debt is that it needs to be serviced regularly (except zero coupons, which are discounted from the principal sum at the outset and cost more and are monitored with bond covenants and triggers to activate automatic foreclosure). Unlike a credit-driven economy, a debt-propelled economy will inevitably reach a point where its ability to service the growing debt is exceeded, unless inflation stays ahead of interest charges, in which case the banking system will fail. Thus runaway systemic debt frequently leads to hyperinflation.

Bankruptcy only relieves the debtor, not the economy. If, as economist Hyman Minsky claimed, money is created whenever credit is extended, then the erasure of debt destroys money and shrinks the economy.

There is a circular link among deregulation, debt, overcapacity and bankruptcy. Deregulation has created a havoc of bankruptcy in the airline, health-care, communication, energy and finance sectors. Deregulation permits predatory pricing in the name of competition, which often leads to monopolistic consolidation within industries. The surviving giants then take on massive debt to acquire vanquished competitors and to expand capacity in anticipation of increased demand and soon reach a point where increased sales do not increase net revenue to offset low margin. Once a company is trapped in the whirlpool of debt, a downward spiral of low prices and shrinking revenue will push the cost of debt beyond sustainability, leading to bankruptcy. This is known as the bursting of the debt bubble.
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