Harry,
While I'm certainly not suggesting a "vast" conspiracy, I am suggesting that the markets are basically a rigged system that trade to a large extent on insider information and phony news totally unrelated to the reality of our economy as a whole or the economy of an individual stock or group of stocks. Do you really believe the Hong Kong markets should have such an impact on our market? Or was this the "excuse" needed to have a market correction, well coordinated I might add. I don't disagree that many stocks were indeed overvalued and in need of correcting, but the trading public would not have induced these downside moves by themselves, they had to have started by large block selling (and shorting) by someone other than the "mom and pop" investor. To say that stocks trading up in "anticipation" of good news is "coincidence" is being totally naive which I don't really think you are. How could anyone know days in advance that good news is forthcoming only to sell off upon the release of that news or shortly thereafter. The same thing happens when bad news occurs with stocks often rebounding shortly after the decline that occured before the news was released. In these instances there is often large block accumulation occuring as investors sell into the bad news, which then allows those accumulating to sell at much higher prices in the future. Much of this occurs, IMO, on insider information. Such is the nature of the beast. Do I think this is such a bad thing... no I don't because one can trade on the same side as the insiders just as easily as not, all you have to do is follow carefully price and volume changes along with some good fundamental analysis of the company. In the case of SUNW, do you really believe its valuations should be so low? When specialists feel as though they have enough stock in their inventories I guarantee you will see a rally in the stock even though absolutely NOTHING has changed fundamentally with the company or the economy on a micro or macro level. BTW, I am long SUNW and as a long term investor I see a very bright future for the originator of JAVA, regardless of what some analyst might say as he attempts to manipulate the price of the stock!!!
Bob |