Herb, it's still very early in the "warning season" and we are far from out of the woods yet. Below is from Briefing, comparing, on a per week basis, 1Q98 warnings vs. 2Q, so far, and what happened in the rest of 1Q's warning season. Note that Feb. lines up with May, March with June, and April with July. This was a matrix, or spreadsheet on Briefing, turned into a list here. I think you can get the jist of it. OK, we are in the June 8 - 12 week, and have had 10 tech and 16 'other' type company warnings. June 15 - 19 week, and further out, are tbd. The equivalent weeks in 1Q, like March 16 - 20, etc., had substantial numbers of warnings.
Q2 Week Tech Other Q1 Week Tech Other May 18-22 6 4 Feb 16-20 1 0 May 25-29 5 9 Feb 23-27 3 3 Jun 1-5 9 9 Mar 2-6 7 0 Jun 8-12 10 16 Mar 9-13 9 7 Jun 15-19
Mar 16-20 12 6 Jun 22-26
Mar 23-27 16 16 Jun 29-Jul 3
Mar 30-Apr 3 28 12 Jul 6-10
Apr 6-10 10 1 Jul 13-17
Apr 13-17 7 3 Jul 20-24
Apr 20-24 1 0 Jul 27-31
Apr 27-May 1 1 2
Tony |