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Strategies & Market Trends : Thai Funds

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To: Polartee who wrote (57)1/17/1998 10:05:00 PM
From: peter michaelson  Read Replies (1) of 107
 
John - I hope Rogers is short on TTF for he would certainly be able to generate the publicity necessary to reduce the premium. If he is short, then perhaps he's not yet done shorting - I wouldn't be were I in his position.

I mean, if you think the premum will go to, let's say, 30% within one year, then he stands to make a 60% ROI ((150%-30%)/2)on the total hedged transaction if SSG's premium does not move at all and regardless of the direction of the Stock Exchange of Thailand overall. (actually the return is decreased to the extent the SET rises, but goes down to 40% if SET doubles).

Regards

Are these calculations correct? Will their publication cause additional short-selling, do you think?
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