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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)

INTC 47.14

-6.1%

Feb 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: Paul Engel who wrote (5806)	11/27/1996 11:35:00 PM
From: Jacques Newey	of 186894

"The impact of something that grows exponentially is difficult to predict because the short term consequences are generally LESS than we had planned while the long term consequences are much MORE than we expected." In the recent edition (December 2, 1996) of Forbes ASAP, Federico Faggin (developer of the first microprocessor) makes this comment as he looks into HIS crystal ball and prognosticates about the future of the microprocessor. Faggin goes on to say that..."If we consider that there are fifty more years of exponential improvement in store for us, then the long term consequences of this technology are quite impossible to predict." WOW! Does he mean to suggest that we are on the flat portion of the data processing growth curve and we still have 50 years of STEEPER growth to go? Will this growth curve bear any relationship to Intel earnings and/or stock price? Maybe? Perhaps not. It is interesting to note that Intel's historical shareholder ROI growth curve since 1971 has been exponential. Will it continue? I'll take a chance. Anybody else want to venture a guess?

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