Gustave, A bit of info on Russia's current diplomatic activities....
1507 GMT, 990429 - Russian Diplomacy Targets Europeans
Following deadlocked talks in Moscow with U.S. Undersecretary of State Strobe Talbott, Russian special envoy on the Kosovo crisis Viktor Chernomyrdin is taking Russia's message straight to NATO's European members. Specifically, Chernomyrdin has traveled to Bonn with "concrete proposals" on how to end the crisis, and will travel on to Rome before finally meeting with Slobodan Milosevic in Belgrade. With Talbott today in Brussels reiterating that NATO must be at the core of a UN force in Kosovo – a demand that is apparently the major obstacle to a diplomatic resolution of the crisis – Russia has decided to circumvent the U.S. and actively attempt to expand fractures in NATO.
Germany and Italy are both critical to NATO's current air campaign, and would be vital to any future ground option as well. They have also made it clear that they are eager for the crisis to end. Both countries' governments are threatened with collapse due to internal division over Operation Allied Force. In addition, Germany has substantial economic and security interests that weigh against deepening the rift between Russia and the West. The U.S. is exerting every effort to maintain NATO unity, and neither Germany nor Italy wants to shatter the organization, but they also can not tolerate the conflict going on much longer. With a reasonable proposal on resolving the crisis, Russia just might be able to open a rift in NATO.
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