Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Alighieri who wrote (604058)	3/17/2011 1:47:23 PM
From: i-node	Read Replies (2) of 1575626

That's very old data...calculated at nearly $9/W, and at 20 years life (the life expectancy of these components is much higher than 20 years, which is why panels come with a 25 year warranty)...in the end the author of this rather conservative and old article predicts precisely what is happening. Okay, my "very old data" is $9.00/W, and your "new" data is $8.95/W. If in fact my data is "very old", that suggests a TINY $0.05 drop over a long period of time (what I provided, I believe, was 2007 data). As to 20 years versus 30 or 40, it just doesn't matter. If you're familiar with the concept of time value of money, whatever happens 30 or 40 years out is so heavily discounted it is just immaterial to the calculation. The bottom line is that no matter how you manipulate these figures, you can't turn them into a sensible investment. While it is true that scale will help, the fact that we're 30 years into solar energy and costs are still so out of whack suggests that the problem is more than one of scale. Perhaps one day it can be a sensible energy source (although never more than a mere supplement to other technologies such as fusion), but not in my lifetime or yours.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next