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Technology Stocks : Trading TAVA

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To: JDN who wrote (602)8/12/1998 1:59:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon   of 655
 
JDN,

While I agree with most of your comments, the real fear is that the current black-market money changing industry could drastically undercut Bejings efforts at supporting the Yuan.

Additionally, Hong Kong seems to be burdening its new masters with its own currency and real estate problems, with some speculators seeing that the Hong Kong $ is vulnerable to attack. Any attack on the HK $ could create more pressure since it acts as a free-market proxy to the Yuan. (read also that there are pressures in HK to see real estate prices drop lower than the current -40% in order to encourage foreign investors to return).

Additionally, it is being reported that the recent flooding may clip up to 1/2 % off of GDP growth this year, reducing China's ability to maintain employment rates for its workforce.

And we know that the Chinese are a proud people, but they are also pragmatic and competitive. It is not what the leadership states that really matters, but what the underlying economic drivers force upon the politicos.

JMHO

Regards,

Ron
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