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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: LindyBill who started this subject	8/16/2004 8:11:27 PM
From: LindyBill	of 793916

Hugh Hewitt is blogging up a storm. SHORT THOUGHT ON FLORIDA & OHIO [08/16 06:14 PM] John McIntyre offers, in a nutshell, what ought to be the current thinking about Bush's electoral chances in Florida instead of the current yelling and excitement about Kerry being up a few points in the latest polls. Maybe people are putting a lot of stock in the Florida polls that show Kerry ahead. I don't. In my estimation Bush will have an easier time winning Florida than Ohio. Don't forget all the big talk from Terry McAuliffe who declared that "job number one" was to send the President's brother packing in 2002. Jeb Bush went on to win by 13% and the GOP swept the state from top to bottom. His thought on Ohio: "With Gallup's just released poll showing Bush ahead nationally by 2-3 points and his job approval above the supposed magic 50% level at 51, I'm perplexed why the Democrats are so confident the Kerry/Edwards ticket is going to carry a state that typically is two-four points more Republican than the national vote." Another thought: Ohio has a Republican governor, Republican Lieutenant Gov., two Republican senators, and 12 out of the 18 House members are GOP. Ohio's last Democratic governor was Dick Celeste, who left office in 1991. Talk show host Jerry Springer is periodically touted to run, as a Democrat, for statewide office. Beyond that, the state's most prominent Democrats in recent memory have been indicted "Beam Me Up, Mr. Speaker" House member Jim Traficant and presidential candidate Dennis Kucinich, often credited with playing Smeagol in the Lord of the Rings trilogy. Conclusion: The state Democratic party is in shambles. Can Kerry count on a broken down state party to get out the votes for him?

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