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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (616)9/8/2003 11:49:56 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu   of 110194
 
and this daily report was filed by Deutsche Bank on Sept 3

EUR USD (1.0795) Day-traders waited until the US data were safely
out of the way before trying to buy dips yesterday. In a scenario that has
become increasingly familiar over the last few weeks, traders are almost
expecting economic data from the US to be better-than-expected. The
purchasing managers data did not disappoint, in this respect; after a
fleeting move lower, the single-currency climbed to a NY peak of 1.0895 on
the back of short-term buying. Thereafter however, all interest to hold
euros evaporated. It plunged to and closed at the low of the day
(1.0805/10). This morning in Asia, the euro fell to 1.0765, the lowest level
since April.
Objective achieved. After an early violation of the initial support yesterday
morning, our finger was already on the trigger for the break of the critical
1.0870 pivot. So far, the target level (1,0760/65) has been the low, but we
doubt that it will remain so. A residual risk remains to 1.0650/60, which is
also our medium-term objective. As long as the euro does not recover to
above 1.0845/50, we now treat this as the next near-term goal. On the upside, additional resistance stands at 1.0895, but the euro will only earn a
stabilisation above 1.0970.
* The EUR-Sentiment Survey is available as a separate document


So were has the EUR closed 2 days later ? 1.1110
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