Gambling re: GIFS = win or loss, no other outcomes.
Controlled risk re: GIFS (with varying ranges of risk) = Win (stock recovers at some time in the future), Loss (stock does not recover in the future), or Partial Value (some value received in the future after GIFS is shut down).
Objective probability for all three controlled risk alternatives at this time: Unknown. Subjectively for the many, probability of losing all of my GIFS investment is high. Objectively (not letting emotion become too dominant): Unknown. There is bad, suspicious, neutral and good information available that does NOT come from my own speculations or those speculations, opinions, agendas or other subjectivity among SI posters. No matter how much people call or refer to speculations/etc. as fact, they are not.
I won't try to define it any further than this. It's not important enough of a point for this thread.
If you don't like this perspective, then click Next and join the herd.
And the adventure continues... |