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Strategies & Market Trends : Win Lose or Draw : Be A Steve, Make A Call

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To: farkarooski who wrote (37)1/31/2003 11:45:56 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) of 11447
 
<It is Russia, if Putin call Bush and agrees with the U.S. action, we are going in, everyone else don't count... > Russia has already named the price , tht is, give them at MINIMUM 10billion dollars to cover their lost investment in Iraq--that is at minimum.
i think Russia will, knowing the high card they hold, demand at least 20 billion.
And then to get the Turkish bases to be used on a level of 80,000 to 100,000 U.S. troops means we will have to make an offer they can't refuse, that is the rights to the oil fields in Northern Iraq.
As for threatening Turkey with an Independent Kurdistan i feel would back-fire on U.S. with Turkish Government turning hostile at the U.S. for using fingers in a vice tactics to get Turkish support.
Italy has actually become a terrorist hotbed and i think they probably have legitimate fear.
Blair? Britain has always lived with the reality they are a quite small and a congested place and goes to bed seeing the possibility of #10 Downing Street being a pile of rubble one day.
But the major miscalculation i feel going on is if Al Quida and Iraq(once sworn enemies--remember Osama bin Laden despised the Secular Iraq an wanted to fight them without the Infidel U.S. being involved)--if in fact Saddam and Al Quida(former enemies) are now "footsy footsy" then the horse is already out of the barn, as they would have already been smuggling out the Anthrax and VX already into Al Quida hands.
It all is a tangled knot, and Bush is trying the Alexandrian method when Alexander was confronted with the Gordian Knot.
But Iraq and the that whole area be far more complex then the simplicity of a Gordian Knot,imo. Max
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