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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 312.76+1.1%Dec 8 4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (6442)10/24/2002 12:34:37 PM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (2) of 95536
 
We may be starting to see a pattern that developed last year. At this same time last year we looked back at 2001 and most calculated that 2002 wouldn't be as bad, so the market took off. Once reality set in some months later, the market tanked, rebounded and tanked again. While estimates for next year have been reduced substantially, they are still pointing to a stronger 2003 vs 2002. This is helping to fuel the rally as the doom and gloom that set in from the reality of a weak 2002 is being replaced by optimism for a stronger 2003. There are some who are saying IT spending needs to improve just to "keep up", this also encourages the market. These thoughts are why I have kept an open mind about the short term. Even though I think the market is overstating estimates for next year, the "objective" reality might not set in for a while.
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