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Technology Stocks : CAWS - Wireless Cable (New and Improved)

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To: Bexar who wrote (62)11/4/1996 1:15:00 PM
From: Ken Turetzky   of 5812
 
Analyst's report on CAMP:

MONTGOMERY****MONTGOMERY****MONTGOMERY****MONTGOMERY***MONTGOMERY

CALIFORNIA AMPLIFIER, INC.*

November 1, 1996 NASDAQ: CAMP
COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT--WIRELESS Rating: HOLD
Matthew S. Robison (415) 627-2389
Mark A. McKechnie (415) 627-3177

Price: $8-1/8 FY Ends 2/28 1996 1997E 1998E
52-Week Range: $48-6
Shares Outstanding: 11.6 MM Q1 $0.07 $0.13A $0.05
FY97E Revenues: $53.7 MM Q2 0.09 (0.02)A 0.07
Market Cap./Revenues: 176% Q3 0.11 0.01 0.10
Avg. Daily Vol. (3 mos.): 441,324 Q4 0.14 0.03 0.13
Dividend/Yield: None Fiscal Year $0.41 $0.16 $0.35
8/96 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 1.6% P/E 19.8 N/M 23.2
ROAE: N/M Prev. Est. $0.25 $0.70
8/96 Book Value/Share: $2.11 Calendar Year $0.22E $0.30
Secular EPS Growth: 30% P/E 36.9 27.1
Market Capitalization: $94.3 MM Prev. Est. $0.27 $0.60

* Montgomery Securities currently maintains a market in this security.

MG**MG**MG**MG**MG**MG***MONTGOMERY SECURITIES***MG**MG**MG**MG**MG

Rating Lowered to HOLD Pending Tangible Signs of Wireless Cable Market
Recovery

Checks indicate that CAMP's market continues to be soft because of
domestic weakness as wireless cable carriers are under-capitalized for adding
subscribers and/or are waiting for digital. Although CAMP is beginning to
benefit from commercial shipments of MultiCipher Plus, we do not believe this
revenue will be begin to be meaningful until next quarter and that margins
remain thin for this product line.

The Tele-TV rollout continues to work toward service offerings, albeit
at a bureaucratic pace. Earlier this week, PacTel announced that it had filed
with the SEC to purchase MMDS (wireless cable) spectrum rights in northern
California. However, checks indicate that BEL and NYN continue to deliberate
over final product characteristics.

Asian customers are coming back, but slowly. Australia is in a holding
pattern (checks indicate financing trouble). Saudi Arabia appears stagnant.

We will continue to monitor events closely, as we firmely believe CAMP will
once again be the beneficiary of robust demand for wireless cable.

3Q96E FY97E FY98E

Current Previous Current Previous Current Previous
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate

Revenues ($ mil.) $12.0 $14.0 $53.7 $59.7 $62.0 $85.0
EPS $0.01 $0.05 $0.16 $0.25 $0.35 $0.70

First Call Corporation - all rights reserved. 617/345-2500
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