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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: bruwin who wrote (66814)3/5/2021 9:17:12 AM
From: Elroy1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Area51

   of 78890
 
BUT then, after one good month's price, it's down ~20% to $232.50 the following month, and it's then all "downhill" from there reaching predicted lows of around $181 to $160 later in the year.

True. But back in Jan the price decline was forecast for Mar and April, now the forecast is for April to be up dramatically. I chalk this up to the “we don’t know the future”.

If fertilizer prices do collapse, then the UAN unit price appreciation story may never occur. Agreed. But if prices stay around $260 for UAN32 and &450 for ammonia, it seems like UAN will begin throwing off cash, and the nuts should go up quite a lot.

So.....I watch the fertilizer prices. The latest move is STRONGLY higher. That’s good news.
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