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Strategies & Market Trends : Let's Make REAL MONEY (Big, long-term cap. gains)

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To: Don S.Boller who wrote (50)12/21/1997 7:26:00 PM
From: david james   of 135
 
A question on capital gains....

There are two ways in which one gains by holding an appreciating stock long term. One is the straightforward reduction in taxes. The second is that it allows you to keep ones capital in the market rather than taking out more than a third of the profits to hand to Uncle Sam. Together this suggest a rather interesting equation as to how far a stock is anticipated to drop to be worth selling.
For example, if you owned a stock that appreciated on average 40% per year, and had owned it for 8 months, and were aware of news that was going to lead it to a short term drop, how large of a drop would make it worth selling? I believe the answer is larger than most 'traders' expect. Anyone, know where I can find a discussion of this issue?

And if I may plug my favorite, based on long term growth, P/E relative to the industry and strong management, my favorite company is American Eco (ECGOF) and it just had its short term drop. ;-).. Although not quite in the theme of this thread, the company has grown earnings the last 5 years at an average rate of 83%, has a P/E under 10, and is expected to shortly announce 4th quarter earnings showing growth of at least 85% over 4th quarter 96.

Details are on the "Highlights on SI" in Mark Johnson's newsletter, just published
techstocks.com

David
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