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Technology Stocks : CheckFree (CKFR)
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To: Mr. Stress who wrote (6760)8/13/1998 12:03:00 AM
From: Will Hou   of 8545
 
<<CKFR is WAY oversold.
It should go easily back to $17 short term (maybe tomorrow). imo >>

Here's a simple calculation based on recent interview / forecast (http://www.exchange2000.com/~wsapi/investor/reply-5482196):

if next year's earning has dropped to .12 to .16 vs previous .32, keep same PE, we should see 23.75*(.14)/(.32)=10.39

Here I used previous day close, and mid-point for next year earning.

Of course, if you want to get fancy, you can always consider growth rate such as PEG model, which would likely to bring the "fair" price down further (consider same PEG number, lower growth number means lower PE...)
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