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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: LindyBill who started this subject9/7/2004 9:54:14 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) of 793914
 
DeMint is well on his way to picking up South Carolina.

Redstate blog - A poll done by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies for DeMint’s campaign in late August showed the Upstate Congressman with a 50 percent to 38 percent lead over Tenenbaum.
That margin is a far cry from the 48 percent to 33 percent edge for Tenenbaum in a March survey conducted for her campaign. Harrison Hickman will remain in his role as the campaign’s pollster.

When informed that Tenenbaum had dismissed Carrick, DeMint media consultant Scott Howell said: “I would have too. Have you seen her campaign?”

I'm familiar with Public Opinion Strategies and have never found them trimming, so I the results of their poll is presumably legit.
I view most of this trend as a reflection of the natural GOP-leaning of the South Carolina electorate. DeMint stayed at the RNC convention in New York for several days, raising money, while Tenenbaum split, averse to appearing anywhere with the national ticket.

And then Tenenbaum was hit with the news that South Carolina SAT scores had dropped to a national low. And Tenenbaum is a two-term superintendent of public instruction.

All in all, everything has broken against Tenenbaum. And there are few signs the trends will change.

P.S. Amusingly enough, as I waited for a bus in D.C. today, two Democratic lobbyists were chatting behind me. They had written off the South Carolina Senate race. (Florida, too.) Had hopes for North Carolina.

redstate.org
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