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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Joseph Beltran who wrote (6999)10/7/1998 4:24:00 PM
From: Tommaso   of 9980
 
Clinton called it a "glitch in the road." Sounds like something one either would not want to run over or step in.

These "Asian problems" are going to provide a very convenient excuse for the Federal Reserve having allowed the equity bubble to develop.

Improvements in technology and productivity were among the causes of the Great Depression. Then, as now, declines in commodity prices and then a surfeit of manufactured goods led to falling prices, which (this time not yet) led to a round of layoffs, further falling prices, etc. I think that the US government will be much quicker than Japan has been to expand the money supply and spend money to prevent a very deep recession, unless the Republican Congress is determined to repeat even more of the mistakes of the 1930s.

There are plenty of useful things for the government to spend money on. The Depression was in some respects a great boon for artists, with commissions to decorate public buildings with murals. There's a lot that could be done to clean up the rattier parts of America, using a deliberately inflated currency to pay for the projects.

But we will see what happens. Meantime, some of us hope to protect our real capital.
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