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Strategies & Market Trends : Underexposed Technical Analysis
AQN 6.160+0.3%Nov 28 9:30 AM EST

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To: Underexposed who wrote (703)1/4/2020 10:15:04 PM
From: Underexposed1 Recommendation

Recommended By
toccodolce

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USA: American Fantasy Stock Portfolio Update... Jan 3, 2020

Finally added a fourth stock to this portfolio, Photronics [NASDQ:PLAB]. It was added when the price fell briefly to its 20daySMA a drop of almost $1. This saved me about $1000 on purchase of 1000 shares and we made a nice profit on the pullback following that fall.

Transaction History

Transaction................................................. Comments............................................................. Amount

..... Date
.......................... Initial investment........................................................................................... 100,000.00
19-Aug-19........ Buy 2000 shares of Seaspan Corp @ $10.00/ share....................................... -20,000.00
25-Aug-19........ Buy 1500 shares of Barrick Gold Corp @ $19.15/share................................... -28,975.00
29-Aug-19........ Buy 2000 shares of Algonquin Power & Utilities @ $12.90/share.................... -25,800.00
13-Sep-19......... Sale of 1500 shares of Barrick Gold Corp @ $17.30/share ............................ 25,950.00
16-Sep-19......... Market order 2000 shares of BP Prudhoe Royalty Trust filled @ $10.38/sh .. -20,760.00
08-Oct-19.......... Market order 2000 shares of Cohu Corp filled @ $13.81/share..................... -27,620.00
15-Oct-19.......... Quarterly dividend on 2000 shares of Algonquin Power & Util @ $0.141/shr........282.00
21-Oct-19.......... Quarterly dividend 2000 shares of BP Prudhoe Royalty @ $0.3348166/shr ....... 669.63
30-Oct-19.......... Quarterly dividend 2000 shares of Seaspan Corp @ $0.125/shr.......................... 250.00
08-Nov-19.......... Limit stop loss sale of 2000 shares of BP Prudhoe Royalty @ $7.50/sh........ 15,000.00
15-Nov-19......... Quarterly dividend 2000 shares of Cohu Corp @ $0.6/share .............................. 120.00
03-Jan-20.......... Buy 1000 shares of Photronics on limit bid of $15.10/share ...........................-15,100.00
.................................................................................................................................................... ---------------

............................................................................Cash on hand including any dividends...... 4,0116.63

Current Portfolio as of Jan 3, 2020

Ticker.................. Company.......................Shares..... Price.........Value....... % Gain/loss...Dividends*

SSW................. Seaspan Corp.................... 2000...... $14.03... $28,060.00..........41.55%......$250.00
AQN ................ Algonquin Power & Util...... 2000...... $14.13..... 28,260.00......... 10.63%...... $282.00
COHU............... Cohu Corp........................ 2000. .... $22.67 .... 45,340.00 ......... 64.59% ..... $120.00

PLAB ................ Photronics Inc. ................ 1000 ..... $15.40 .... 15,100.00 ........... 1.99%

............................................................................................... ----------------

............................................................Total value of stocks. $117,060.00


* Dividends are for reference only the cash is added to Cash on hand



Total Portfolio Value Summary

Cash on hand:.... $4,016.63

Total Value Trend

Date................... Value........ %Gain/Loss

02-Aug-19..... $100,000.00
23-Aug-19..... $100,320.00...... 0.32%
30-Aug-19..... $101,195.00...... 1.20%
06-Sep-19...... $ 99,790.00...... 0.21%
13-Sep-19......$101,035.00...... 1.04%
20-Sep-19......$ 97,915.00 ...... 2.09%
27-Sep-19......$ 97,635.00 ...... 2.36%
04-Oct-19....... $97,015.00 ...... 2.99%
11-Oct-19....... $98,205.00....... 1.80%
18-Oct-19....... $98,598.00....... 1.40%
25-Oct-19..... $102,236.63....... 2.24%
01-Nov-19.....$103,976.63 ...... 3.07%
15-Nov-19.....$108,126.63 ...... 8.12%
22-Nov-19.....$104,326.63 ...... 4.33%
29-Nov-19.....$105,746.63 ...... 5.75%
06-Dec-19.....$111,756.63 ..... 11.76%
13-Dec-19.....$116,376.63 ......16.38%
20-Dec-19.....$120,276.63 ..... 20.28%
27-Dec-19.....$120,836.63 ..... 20.84%
03-Jan - 20....$121,076.63 ..... 21.08%

Charts



Two very nice charts marching through consolidation. Both stocks are very close to having its trigger pulled.

SSW is in excellent shape. See how flat the share price floated through the last few weeks? I like how rather than dipping to the 20daySMA it allowed the moving average to catch-up to the share price... very nice!

The Slow Sto hardly made a challenge of its 80 mark.
The MACD is the only downer... it needs to reverse direction before the trigger is pulled... if it continues neg and the Slow Sto falls below 80... well that would be a sell sign.... I doubt that would happen theough.

the BBwidth trigger should be pulled before next week is finished.

AQN also looks good. It fell to the 20daySMA and tracked it from then on... a nice bounce on Friday

The Slo Sto flattened out after that brief fall to the 20day SMA..... Both the Slow sto and MACD need to start a +ve slope.... the BBWidth could rise any day now


COHU has entered consolidation now... It has started nice and the Slow Sto looks fine. But this consolidation will last several weeks... the BBWidth is a long way from being pulled.

PLAB also in consolidation, was moving fine before dipping to the 20 daySMA.

that MACD must turn around.... the BBwidth is tightening fast but it is still 2 weeks away from breakout mode.

Conclusions

Well we are only 4 months into our Long term hold and we are so far at 21% profit.....considering the average profit for a year of investing is about 7 -10% .

As you see in the Canadian Fantasy Portfolio it is not as easy....

Have a great year trading in 2020

UE
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