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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 491.12+1.7%Dec 8 3:59 PM EST

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To: Gary105 who wrote (7114)5/14/1998 9:52:00 AM
From: X-Ray Man   of 74651
 
Everyone is missing the point. Whether Win98 is delivered on
time is not overly consequential short term. MSFT is not going
to make much more money on Win98 than Win95. OEMs get software
one way or the other, MSFT gets license fee either way. Late
delivery on Win98 has greater impact on box vendors, than on MSFT,
short term. Long term, DOJ and states can still get an injunction,
and the cost to MSFT will be higher if they have to retroactively
accomodate a judgement. Hence, the fact the DOJ and states are
going ahead and also are concerned about preemptive strike on
WinNT 5 is a much bigger negative than the fact that no short term
restraining order (never likely to have been granted, anyway).
Yet the street yesterday, today reacts as if the problem went away.
The bad news will take a week to settle into the hearts and minds
of investors. MSFT is going to be tied up in litigation for the
rest of the year.
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