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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: mister topes who wrote (7143)7/25/1999 11:31:00 AM
From: lifeisgood  Read Replies (3) of 15132
 
He can go wrong very easily. He is recommended a l00% invested
position pending further developments in his long term timing
model. If the market collapses from here he will turn out to
be wrong.

I must disagree with this comment. As Herb stated in is first post on this topic, In fact, if Brinker used this strategy for the last 200 years he would have been correct 100% of the time.

Hypothetically, the market could tank 50%, and in 2 years recover and reach new highs. In this case, Bob could still claim he was correct and that staying fully invested was the right move (it would however be in conflict with his oft-stated intention never to ride out a bear market).

Herb's assertion that Bob hedges his predictions are right on the mark. Personally, I think it's an intelligent approach to keeping Market Timer subscribers.

In my opinion, comparing Bob to Laura Schlessinger or Rush is incredibly unfair to Bob inasmuch as he has a brain and uses it.

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