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Pastimes : A Jackass, his PAL(indrome), and GOLD

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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (72)1/10/2003 1:08:01 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 1210
 
jobs deterioration very expected by this jackass
now seeing detrimental effect on the USDollar, at 101.5
economic recovery prospects seem to be under assault by reality
they can trot out the same bullshit 2ndHalf Recovery
doesnt mean that it has any more value than last time
which was nothing but hype spin hope crappola promotion of self-interest
sad really

quotes.ino.com

100 parity should be reached before February
Euro was at 105.6 this morning, the sole currency beneficiary behind the recent dollar decline
I recall goombas saying Euro would stop at 100 parity
I didnt think it would stop there, not for a minute
but at the time, it made good promotional sense to say that by the inept press/media

gold seems very comfortable in the #350 zone
now pushing #355
press/media thinks gold has made its run now, and with some resolution in Iraq (war or peace) that gold will retreat quickly
dont count on it, as jobs report will keep interest rates desperately low

the major reasons why GOLD is rising has to do with negative real shorterm Trez rates (not war) and horrendous twin tower debts (trade, federal)
low rates should continue for a long while
twin tower debts should each worsen
so dollar demand will dwindle, while dollar supply grows

I believe the press/media position on gold and dollar is predicated (very mistakenly) on continued demand by foreigners for USTBond debt securities, even as our federal new issuance (added supply) increases, and as our economy slows further

we are at stall speed in the USEconomy now
I expect a recession to hit by summer, led by car sector

/ jim
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