9-month cycle
Schedule: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles fixed with base at Oct 10 low
_ cycle tendencies
_ 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10 start start start 768 none
Nov 4 green green green 901 +133 907 +139 N.A. N.A.
Nov 27 yellow green green 939 + 38 940 + 39 872 - 29 68
Dec 19 red yellow green 884 - 55 954 + 15 880 - 59 74
Jan 13, 03 green yellow green 926 + 42 935 + 51 869 - 15 66
Feb 5 yellow red yellow 843 - 83 931 + 5 840 - 86 91
Feb 27 red red yellow 837 - 6 853 + 10 806 - 37 47
Mar 24 green green yellow 864 + 27 896 + 59 789 - 48 107
Apr 16 yellow green yellow 880 + 16 905 + 41 843 - 21 62
May 8 red yellow red 926 + 46 934 + 54 879 - 1 55
Jun 2 green yellow red
Jun 25 yellow red red
Jul 17 red red red
Aug 11 green green green
Sep 2 yellow green green
Sep 25 red yellow green
Oct 20 green yellow green
Nov 11 yellow red yellow
Dec 4 red red yellow
Dec 30 green green yellow
Jan 20, 04 yellow green yellow
Feb 12 red yellow red
Mar 8 green yellow red
Mar 30 yellow red red
Apr 22 red red red
Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001
_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Sep 21, 01 start start start 965 none
Oct 17 green green green 1077 +112 1107 +142 N.A. N.A.
Nov 12 yellow green green 1118 + 41 1135 + 58 1053 - 24 82
Dec 7 red yellow green 1158 + 40 1173 + 55 1118 - 0 55
Jan 4, 02 green yellow green 1172 + 14 1176 + 18 1114 - 44 62
Jan 28 yellow red yellow 1133 - 39 1177 + 5 1117 - 55 60
Feb 22 red red yellow 1090 - 43 1138 + 5 1074 - 59 64
Mar 20 green green yellow 1152 + 62 1174 + 84 1074 - 16 100
Apr 15 yellow green yellow 1102 - 50 1156 + 4 1099 - 53 57
May 10 red yellow red 1055 - 47 1133 + 31 1049 - 53 84
Jun 5 green yellow red 1050 - 5 1106 + 51 1030 - 25 76
Jul 1 yellow red red 968 - 67 1050 + 0 953 - 97 97
Jul 26 red red red 853 -115 993 + 25 775 -193 218
Aug 21 green green green 949 + 96 951 + 98 833 - 20 118
Sep 16 yellow green green 891 - 58 965 + 16 870 - 79 95
Oct 11 red yellow green 848 - 55 902 + 11 768 -123 134
Nov 6 green yellow green 924 + 76 925 + 77 804 - 44 121
Dec 2 yellow red yellow 934 + 10 954 + 30 872 - 52 82
Dec 27 red red yellow 875 - 59 934 + 0 873 - 61 61
Jan 22, 03 green green yellow 878 + 3 935 + 60 869 - 6 66
Feb 18 yellow green yellow 851 - 27 890 + 12 806 - 72 84
Mar 14 red yellow red 833 - 18 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 9 green yellow red 866 + 33 905 + 72 827 - 6 78
May 5 yellow red red 926 + 60 934 + 68 863 - 3 71
May 30 red red red
Jun 25 green green green
Jul 21 yellow green green
Aug 15 red yellow green
Sep 10 green yellow green
Oct 6 yellow red yellow
Oct 31 red red yellow
Nov 26 green green yellow
Dec 23 yellow green yellow
Jan 16, 04 red yellow red
Feb 11 green yellow red
Mar 8 yellow red red
Apr 2 red red red
22-week cycle
Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 selected as base low
Dec 03-07, 01 11-weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22-weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22-weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 11 weeks low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 22-weeks trough low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 11 weeks low 789 next high 934 on May 5 (week 7)
May 27-30, 03 22-weeks trough
Aug 11-15, 03 11 weeks
Oct 27-31, 03 22-weeks trough
Jan 12-16, 04 11 weeks
Mar 29-02, 04 22-weeks trough
Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks
Aug 30-03, 04 22-weeks trough
Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks
26-week Dow cycle troughs (preferred)
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 02 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
sample size 9 Spring sample 5 Fall sample 4
total 231 weeks total 110 weeks total 121 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks
next approximate Dow trough
Aug 13, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample
Sep 24, 03 26 weeks average length in sample
Oct 22, 03 30 weeks average length in Fall sample
26-week Dow cycle troughs (alternate)
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Jul 24, 02 Dow 7532 length 24 weeks
Dec 31, 02 Dow 8243 length 23 weeks
sample size 9
total 231 weeks
average 25 weeks
st dev 2 weeks
next approximate Dow trough
May 20, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample
Jun 24, 03 25 weeks average length in sample
source of dates
timeanddate.com |
