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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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From: E_K_S9/7/2023 10:41:22 PM
1 Recommendation

Recommended By
roguedolphin

   of 78746
 
Aug/Sept recent Buy & Sells & Acqusitions/Merger

Many of the Buys are low PE's (typically < 12x); will pay a dividend; sell at/near BV; speculative stocks have positive FCF w/ huge potential for growing FCF; some are cyclicals betting on no recession; started new positions in some retailers all have DTC platforms;

Buy-Out Merger:


Computer Task Gp Inc (CTG)

CTG was acquired for All Cash at $10.50/share; have been accumulating this employee out-source service company in early 2022 (idea came from Richard Speculating in Takeover Stocks). We have been researching many different Value stocks (using AI BARD); CNDT is one that is ripe for a take-out; Hedge fund Buys here

UBT (URSTADT BIDDLE PPYU) REIT merged w/ Regency Centers Corp (REG);

Worked out around $22.50/share. Avg cost on shares at/near $8/share. Thanks' to Paul Senior as he got me into this stock years ago. Cyclical during 2009 crash but loaded up w/ low cost shares. Do not think they never missed their dividend.

Sells: mainly booking some long term gains; partial sells moving proceeds into same sectors but lower PE; higher dividend better values; selling a few High cost shares (for small gains) as I build positions and lower avg cost; harvest tax loss (I do this through out the year in 50% chunks selling the high cost shares booking loss)

ANDE (Ag stock fairly valued; peeled off 50% from buys in 2019/2020)
SRC (sold high cost shares as I build position); Paul Senior is/was accumulating
MDT (medical devise booked gains from 2022/2023 Buys; moved proceeds into INM; still hold a 50% position)
KRO
ENB (took some gains in AUG then bought a few after they announced their $14 Bil NG deals from D)
DAN (peeled off high cost shares from 2022 Buys small gains; holding for 25% higher price; stock mentioned in 2022 on SI thread.
GSK (closed out position for small gain)
EPR (sold high cost shares for small gain; still holding for higher prices)
OVV (peeled off a few shares for long term gain from Buys in 2019 & 2020; this is the old ENCANA) avg cost at $11/share); think fare value much higher > $100/share)
ORCL (peeled off a few high cost shares for gain; building position since 2022; +22% a Tech GARP stock)
GTN (deep value; sold 30% on recent run to $10/share)
CIO (harvest tax loss on 50%)
GILD (peeled off 50% from Buys in 2021 & 2022)
MTW (another Richard stock from 9/2022 & 10/2022 Buys avg cost $8/share; sold some at $18; fair value may/could be around $40/share)
KSS (peeled off some high cost shares for gain)
TROX (peeled off 10% from high cost shares)
VFF (harvest tax loss)
INTC (peeled off some high cost shares for gain)
KD (peeled off some high cost shares for gain)
LEVI (peeled on some high cost shares for gain)
GOODN (tax loss harvest on some high cost shares)
WMB (peeled off 10% from buys in 2019/2020)
CAH (peeled off 50% for long term gain from buys in 10/2021)
LMNR (peeled off 15% from buys in 5/2022 & 12/2022)
DOW (closed out tracking position)
HUN (booked gain on high cost shares)
HL (sold 50% from Buys in 2019 at $1.50/ on recent run in Silver)
SIMO (fast swing trade after merger called off)
T (tax loss harvest; still hold a 40% position)
TSN (tax loss harvest still hold a 50% position)
CTVA (tax loss harvest on high cost shares)
ULBI (a Richard pick from Speculating in Takeover Stocks; bought $4.60 sold $8.85)
TSEM (takeover by INTC never approved by China)
NWN - NG utility closed out position based on value
HPQ- closed out for small s/t gain
PARA (tax loss harvest)
VALE (sold some high cost shares for gain)
NRG (peeled off 10% of high cost shares from buys in 2021; moved proceeds into other NG utilities)
AGGZF (peeled off shares priced at fair value and put proceeds into TITN 5x PE huge potential value in TITN both Ag exposure); TITN a Paul Senior buy
EIX (booked 30% from 2009 and moved into NG Utilities)

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Buys

SBRA - Medical REIT accumulating position

UGI - NG & LPG utility; been building position as GN says 40% undervalued. Company did announce they hired Goldman Sachs to explore "Strategic Alternatives"; possibly the sale of AmeriGas which they bought in 2022 for $1.5 Billion & Debt

HDSN - building position in this refrigerant service company (hit all time high in Sept)

IFF - building position

SRC - Building position in this REIT (a Paul Sr pick)

PYPL - a new position I am building

O- adding shares to this REIT as they issue new ATM shares

TROX/KRO - small adds as I build position on sell off

UHS - started tracking position in this Hospital Service company 12x PE

D - small adds this was before the sale of their NG utilities to ENB

QCOM - small adds as I build position. This is my GARP high Tech stock

KHC - continue to add to KHC 11x PE; food company

CAG - continue to add to this food company 10.5x PE

BGS - close to 52wk low for this food company 10.7x PE (does have high debt)

INMD - medical device company 16.3x PE

LEG - small add as I build position

WPC - new REIT following Paul Sr. into this tracking position

CNDT - several adds as I build this position; could see tax loss selling where I plan to add in size following Icahn & Miller hedge funds

IP - more adds as I build position in this cyclical 11x PE 5.46% dividend

LEVI & KTB - retailers building positions both have DTC platforms; KTB 11x PE 4.35% div; LEVI 12x PE 3.5% div

UNFI - getting back into value range w/ close to 3 year low; 5x PE could be down due to higher transportation costs

HR - Medical REIT following Grommit into the position

LOCO - a new position a Richard pick; 14x PE ; reversion to the mean 50% upside potential

TITN - an Ag machinery reseller (also sells farm machinery tires); Paul Sr pick 5xPE beat on earnings

KR - one of the largest food retailers; a large Buffet holding (but recent sells) 10x PE 2.37% div

FF - a Richard pick; 7x PE; small cap sells bio-diesel receives gov credits also specialty chemical producer (I like this business segment) 3.6% div; building this new position

K - continue to add to this food company 13.8x PE 4% div it's a new position I am building on all sell offs

ENB - small add after company announced the purchase of D's NG assets for $14 Billion 7% div

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Still sitting on 35% Cash (in Treasury Money Funds: Schwab 5.02% yield & Vanguard 5.25% yield); keeping reserves for a 10%-15% sell off

Oversized positions in CNDT (cloud services would make an excellent bolt-on company for larger company ORCL or NSFT) & UGI selling below BV AmeriGas assets may/could be sold.
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