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Strategies & Market Trends : Neural Nets - A tool for the 90's

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To: LastShadow who wrote (738)4/5/2000 6:12:00 PM
From: xu, b.   of 871
 
But, on a general level, that could be a good excercise for the thread, to develop a testing process, a methodology that structures the development of a net and the steps one would take to refine it. That would allow the lurkers and posters here to contribute and learn also.

Bai: good idea!

So, if some others are willing, we can start this process with a scope:

Bai: again good idea!

Lets pick a sector - my vote is for Tech due to the volatility, trading ranges and volume

Bai: agree.

Then lets pick an objective: minimize error, maximize profit, accuracy of prediction - I would go for any of them, but if we go with Tech sector, we should probalby forget minimizing error, as the trading strategy we couple with this net would be sector-specific, and the erratic nature means one would use stops rather than a net to handle that concern.

Bai: I would pick P/R ratio as the output. P/R stands for profit/risk.

Should we pick a single stock, a few stocks or an index or spyder? I vote for a set of stocks, just because I would want to determine fitness and eliminate spurious data by looking at the individual tickers rather than some masked reaction in an index or spyder, but thats just my vote.

Bai: agree.

What I would like to hear from others is what they would like to get out of this - the object in my mind would be to help learn How to develop nets. Appreciate that this is not a quick and straightforward process, as there are a lot of qualifications and assessments made along the way that would be revisited each time wone looks at a new net.

Bai agree.
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