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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 240.87+3.4%3:59 PM EST

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To: Sabrejet who wrote (75011)8/21/1999 10:50:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph   of 164684
 
Earnings Per Share
Old
New
P/E Ratios
(FY:Dec.)
2000E
$3.00
$
25.9

1999E
2.00

38.9

1998A
0.81

96.0

Rating: TOP PICK
Change: None
12-Mo. Target: $120

WCOM shares are down 6% intraday, driven lower by fears that the company's new
consumer plan featuring 5 cents per minute all week long (not just on Sundays, as in the
company's previous plan) will hurt earnings. We view today's selloff as a major overreaction
by an investor base already wary of anything smelling like commoditization of long distance
voice in the wake of weak results from Frontier, Teleglobe and others as well as a modest
slowdown in MCI WorldCom's growth in 2Q. WCOM shares trade at only 26x year 2000 EPS,
a modest 10% premium to the market, and only 10 times estimated year 2000 EBITDA; we
believe this is highly attractive considering a projected strong 50% growth (1998-2003),
driven by consistent 15-20% revenue growth, margin gains from MCI merger synergies and
the benefits of deleveraging and the shrinking impact of goodwill amortization. We target the
shares at $120 over the next 12 months (54% upside), or 30 times our year 2001 earnings
estimate of $4/share. (12:45 PM EST)
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