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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Russ Motter who wrote (7601)9/4/1998 12:21:00 AM
From: wooden ships   of 42834
 
Russ- In re: "What about Bob's natural bullish bias? The traits
that make for failure in investing are deeply rooted in human
nature...There is a strong psychological element to the switch
from bull to bear."

I am not quite fathoming your statements, but it is certainly
true that you can not take the man and his persona out of the
analyst. After all, analyzing markets is hardly a science. And
if a formula for the markets is ever devised-- by definition, it
must fail in the long run as its application becomes widespread.
My own thesis is that the market is also designed to humble
men, those who come closest to uncovering its innermost
secrets not excepted. (see #reply-4548826)

There are doubtless more than a few hypotheses to explain why
Brinker failed to foresee this steep downturn. Some have said
that the law of probabilities finally caught Brinker. Others have
opined that Brinker may have boxed himself into a corner of late,
especially, on the heels of his strident and mocking condemnation
of Mr. Acampora (dubbed Ralph Flip-Flop) on national radio.
Still others would argue that Brinker's model must be funda-
mentally flawed. There is little question that these will remain
matters of considerable debate and speculation.
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