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Technology Stocks : LSI Corporation
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To: uu who wrote (7606)11/1/1997 4:29:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit   of 25814
 
You might also have noticed that they used to rate the "timeliness" of most high-techs at "1" (excellent) or "2" (very good) during the last couple of years...

I feel that as long as their timeliness numbers are 3 or better (i.e. 1, 2 or 3), their 3-5 year projections are not all that conservative. It is only when the timeliness numbers are 4 or 5 (i.e. the stock is expected to make little or no gain in the next 12 months) that they tend to be conservative about their 3-5 year targets.

Of course, this has to be considered along with the "stock price stability" and the "earnings predictability" numbers of the particular stock. The "timeliness" number alone doesn't tell everything. And as I said before, in the case of LSI, these two numbers are abysmally low.

The October 1995 report quoted by John Ostresh clearly shows that Value Line plays the earnings/price momentum game as much as anybody else. And conservative investors don't like to play the momentum game.

Dipy.
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