The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (76159)	12/20/2006 3:07:00 AM
From: John Vosilla	Read Replies (1) of 110194

So much now depends on the direction of long term interest rates. Take them up 300 basis points within a 12-18 month period and it could be real bad with plunging asset values of 30-50% across the board. Keep them low for 5-10 years and the excesses get easily absorbed IMHO with 2 minor recessions at most..

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