SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Maple MAGA who wrote (771122)11/8/2022 7:42:03 AM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 794098
 
People tend to get richer as they age. Five dollars simply means more to you when you’re 9 than when you’re 49. Also, the future is uncertain. We can’t always trust there’ll be one. It’s likely some kids in Walter Mischel’s famous “marshmallow experiment”—which asked kids to wait to eat a marshmallow to get another one—didn’t actually believe that the experimenter would come through with the second marshmallow, and so ate the first marshmallow right away. Saving for retirement makes no sense if in five years a massive meteor cuts human civilization short. Economists call this the “catastrophe” or “hazard” rate.
Also the future should be richer than now, and the past was definitely poorer. And there is a lot of uncertanty about what action X, will help future Y, and how much (the hazard rate is part of that but its not just that). Should some 14th century peasant have suffered (and considering their own meager state maybe risked starvation) for some tiny benefit to many future people who are vastly wealthier? If they did decide yes, how could they be certain their actions would even help?

I definitely think people should be concerned about the future. For example I think focusing on economic growth is very important because even a small increase in growth can over the long run make a country much richer (it wouldn't have taken a large reduction in the growth rate of the US, over the long run, to have made America as poor as Mexico is right now).

But the discount rate should not be zero.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext