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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH)

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To: Mr. Pink who wrote (770)5/19/1997 2:43:00 AM
From: George T. Santamaria   of 6136
 
<I've read over 300 messages on this thread and little if anything has been mentioned regarding possible
competition from Vertex's PI. IMO, Vertex's drug may currently be the most substantial threat to AGPH
long-term success in the PI market. Any scientifically erudite folks out there have an opinion on this?>

Let me throw in some financial questions too:

Will the Vertex drug be inexpensive to manufacture as Viracept is?

Is the Vertex PI superior to Viracept? Viracept appears to be good enough -- fairly easy to treat patients with. It's a quantum improvement over the Merck PI. Will the Vertex PI reduce the cost of treatment significantly?

What would happen if AGPH cut the price of Viracept when the Vertex PI hits the market? Will Vertex recover their R&D expenses -- sufficient to justify another $billion market cap.

I would find the answers to these questions most interesting because in this business timing is everything.
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