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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market

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To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (7753)11/13/1997 11:23:00 AM
From: Zeev Hed   of 18056
 
Bonnie: In terms of basic valuation you are absolutely right, but the problem is that there is still a lot of money sloshing around, and those little banks are being gobbled up by each other in a process of consolidation which may take some time to complete. This process keeps those valuations artificially high. Rationality will not come back at once, either the liquidity will be soaked (in essence contraction in either money supply or budget surpluses), or a much slower process of valuation rationalization will emerge. I think that we are not ready for the "Big Bad Bear" yet, and that is why I do not think we will go as low as 500 on this bear. These, are however, just opinions.

Zeev
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