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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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From: LindyBill10/18/2004 5:58:27 AM
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Here is the RCP count. The red looks great, but it's not enough. Bush 254, Kerry 220

realclearpolitics.com

There are a couple of unwelcome surprises there. New Hampshire is now in Kerry's column, and Ohio is slightly leaning towards Kerry (although so slightly that RCP calls it a toss-up). Minnesota, which ought to be getable and could shatter Kerry's hopes by going for Bush, nevertheless remains a blue state.

On the other hand, it appears as though Bush could afford to lose Ohio-- but only if he picks up toss-ups Wisconsin and Iowa. I wouldn't bet the farm on that, but it's nice to know there's an out if Bush doesn't pick up the Ohio card.

The Iowa Electronic Markets continue showing a belief in Bush's odds.
128.255.244.60
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