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Technology Stocks : Silicon Valley Group

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To: FJB who wrote (785)	8/11/1997 11:47:00 AM
From: Teri Skogerboe	of 2946

All, FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES SVGI Silicon Valley Group Inc. 08/04/97 Industry: Semiconductr SIC: 3674 Latest Price: $31.88 1997 P/E: 44.9 Analyst Recommendation: 2.3 QTR QTR FY FY Sep 97 Dec 97 Sep 97 Sep 98 --- --- -- -- CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.26 0.37 0.71 1.77 Number of Brokers 8 6 8 8 Median 0.25 0.37 0.71 1.75 Standard Deviation 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.10 Current High 0.27 0.40 0.73 2.00 Current Low 0.25 0.33 0.70 1.65 Year Ago EPS 0.38A 0.11A 2.07A 0.71 Current vs. Year Ago Change -32% 236% -66% 149% Report Date wk/Oct 28 wk/Jan 20 wk/Oct 28 - EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Up Revisions last 30 days 3 1 6 1 Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Down Revisions last 30 days 0 0 1 1 EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS Current Mean 0.26 0.37 0.71 1.77 7-days ago Mean 0.26 0.37 0.71 1.77 30-days ago Mean 0.25 0.37 0.68 1.76 60-days ago Mean 0.25 0.37 0.68 1.76 90-days ago Mean 0.25 0.37 0.67 1.77 COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS Industry - Semiconduct 31.82 36.94 128.60 157.78 Current vs. Year Ago Change 42% 16% 43% 23% Sector - TECHNOLOGY 9.29 11.67 36.55 45.27 Current vs. Year Ago Change 29% 23% 27% 24% WSJ/DJ US Index 10.96 11.76 41.88 47.38 Current vs. Year Ago Change 13% 15% 13% 13% Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 32.9 25.38 26.08 20.68 PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 1.49 1.33 1.57 1.75 RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES Current Mean 2.3 Next 5 yrs - Median 22% Number of Brokers 8 Number of Brokers 5 Industry Recommendation: 1.9 Industry Growth Rate: 19% 7-days ago Mean 2.3 Next 5 yrs - High 30% 30-days ago Mean 2.1 Next 5 yrs - Low 18% 60-days ago Mean 2.1 Last 5 Years 74% 90-days ago Mean 2.1 Diff. from Industry -0.4 Rel. to Industry 1.2 Diff. from Sector -0.3 Rel. to Sector 1.3 Diff. from WSJ/DJ US -0.1 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 1.9 Transmitted: 8/5/97 9:10 AM EDT (E_SVGI)

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