CDMA, Qualcomm, [Hong Kong, Korea, LA] THE MARKET TEST! Message Board

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Technology Stocks : CDMA, Qualcomm, [Hong Kong, Korea, LA] THE MARKET TEST!

QCOM 146.45

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3:37 PM EST

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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (782)	9/14/1996 1:13:00 PM
From: Chris Reeder	of 1819

Tero let's expand this technological debate to a higher level. TDMA has been in commerical use since the '60's. Primarily in microwave and satellite. Also fiber opitics uses TDMA. The transition to wireless isn't so new either. When the first cellular was devised by Bell Labs, digital was thought about. The problem was analog at the time gave better spectral efficiency. Enter the Europeans with their mired forms of analog wireless standards. In 1983 or 84 the EU called for a Pan-European standard based on TDMA to support ISDN. The first systems were started in 1991 or 92. That sure is a long lead time from concept to actual deployment. Now coincidentially, CDMA was around. Unfortunately, US export and technology laws were greatly influenced by the cold war. CDMA was the province of the US military. So this passe argument about the newness of CDMA is unfounded. If you look at the the time QCOM first proposed IS-95 it was at the end of the cold war. The reference to Asia is about the CT-2 standard brought to you by the British, the original thinkers which is PCS in the US. And the CT-2 disaster is based on TDMA. ERCY and Nokia can research all they want with modems. You are not going to transmit bits and bytes faster than the bits and bytes of the carrier you modulate on to. It flies into the face of physics. That is why CDMA when it overcomes it problems is the more flexible standard. TDMA is a slot or channelized technology. If it takes a space that eight voice channels to do 19.2 Kb/s, where does that leave the claims of comparable voice capacity for GSM? This is something the print media and the investment community have not focused on. When these folks start to realize that the wireless world is going to have the demands of high speed data place upon it, then the emporer know as GSM will be exposed. Tero I have high regards for ERCY and Nokia, hell I've even been to the Telecommunication Museum in Stockholm. Do not disregard Motorola just yet, although I'm no fan of theirs. The other night I was at my favorite pub. A chap in the bar was highly agitated with his phone. The phone was an analog Nokia. I ask what service he was using. I told him it not the phone. He was not happy with that answer. I could have spent 3 hours trying to educate this individual on the use of his phone. It still was the phones fault. The average person isn't a technical person, hell most folks VCR flashes the time. You start talking Watts, S/N, C/N, BER's; a huge fog engulfs their head's. That one guy hates that Jap phone named Nokia. I know and you know it is a Finnish phone and it is a good phone. How do you overcome consumer ignorance? Well he wants a Motorola phone like he had before.

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