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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics
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To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (79649)6/16/2002 3:10:29 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
I have tracked it for a few years although never as a precise timing tool, I use it as a measure of the larger trend in place. I have however noticed that a week with significant short covering by the commercials has generally resulted in a major bear rally, and they have not been long since early 2000.

I track the SPX mainly and the commercials were record long near the 1994 bottom, 1998 bottom and in late 1999. Went short around the spring 2000 and built a record long position by Sept 2001 if I recall.
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