Here’s why Kerry will win.
[Mark Belling of Milwaukee talk radio fame, and sub for Rush.]
Ticket to ride
Incumbent presidents always re-elected during times of war
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October 20, 2004
Al McGuire once said you can make an incredible amount of money by just telling people what they want to hear. So, today’s column has something for both Sen. John Kerry and President Bush supporters.
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Here’s why Kerry will win.
The polls are undercounting the Kerry vote. The vast majority of the hundreds of thousands of voters being registered in battleground states will actually cast ballots. The shady outfits like the New Voters Project and Project Vote, which have targeted non-voters that fit the Kerry demographic, are now paying their employees for each registrant who actually votes. This is legal, believe it or not. While it’s illegal to pay someone to vote, it’s not illegal to pay someone who convinces someone else to vote. Only liberal and Democratic organizations are doing it.
In addition, the Democratic grass-roots effort is dwarfing that of the Republicans. I am in possession of a lengthy report filed by a spy who infiltrated Friday’s meeting of Milwaukee County Democratic volunteers. For starters, 550 people showed up. But other numbers were stunning. Kerry has 250 paid staffers in Wisconsin and 14 field directors. Bush, by contrast, has one Wisconsin field director.
The Democrats’ plan, in Milwaukee County alone, is to make contact with persons at 120,000 residences. They vow to keep coming back until they actually speak with a person. (The number is staggering if they can pull it off).
Add in the vote fraud and you have a tremendous undercount of the Kerry vote. My own suspicion is that the major pollsters are undercounting Kerry by about 4 percent.
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Here’s why Bush is going to win.
Virtually every American presidential election has been decided by the economy. If the economy is strong - as it is right now - the incumbent wins. If Bush loses, he’ll be one of the few presidents in history to preside over a boom and be ousted. The country also always re-elects presidents during war. Franklin Roosevelt was a doddering old man in 1944 but still swept to re-election. Abraham Lincoln’s nation was literally torn apart but he won. The country doesn’t dump leaders during war.
The most recent Gallup Poll shows Kerry leading Bush among voter preferences on issues like Medicare, the budget deficit and health care. But Bush has huge edges on issues including Iraq, taxes and terrorism. This election isn’t going to be decided on the deficit and Medicare. The wars on terror and in Iraq are still the No. 1 concern for most Americans. And being wrong on the tax issue has been political death for Democrats for a quarter century. (The last Republican to lose re-election, the first Bush, broke a pledge and raised taxes). On the issues that matter, Bush’s lead in the polls is overwhelming.
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Milwaukee’s mayor and election commission director are getting the 938,000 ballots they demanded. That’s nearly 700,000 more than the number of people who voted four years ago and 550,000 more - or 268 percent - than the number of registered voters in the city. When Milwaukee County originally proposed giving the city "only" 679,000 ballots - or 180 percent more than the number of registered voters - Gov. Jim Doyle demanded a state investigation and asked if "voter suppression" was going on.
Waukesha County officials recently announced that municipalities will be given 15 percent more ballots than the number of registered voters. How come Doyle hasn’t raised any questions about "voter suppression" there? In Doyle’s world, giving a Democratic area 180 percent more ballots than voters is "suppression" but providing only 15 percent more ballots than voters in a Republican area is not suppression.
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