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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (80666)6/26/2008 3:38:16 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (2) of 116555
 
I noticed in my area in Seattle a number of homes sold very recently, after inventory got to the highest level I'd ever seen (in my neighborhood). Prices dropped 5% y-o-y but up in May versus April. Inventory is still fairly high though, and most sales I noticed were in June not May, so the monthly trend will probably continue up for at least one more month. Not sure if it's a dead cat bounce yet or what. I've noticed lots of projects which stalled, but many more proceeded full speed.

Prices still amazingly high relative to incomes, though. But with retail inflation running at 8-10% the true y-o-y has been off 15% and even going sideways for another year would be a further decline of 8-10%. Of course... wages are only going up 2%. Aye, there's the rub. That, and mortgages to qualified borrowers in short supply.
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