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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (810)4/1/2000 5:36:00 PM
From: Logain Ablar   of 30051
 
Zeev:

HAUP is right on the 200 day ema. Good to be out. OBAS is worth looking at in the same area but it also broke down and should be on the back burner.

CYMI - It is a quandry. I agree on the technicals. It shouldn't have broken support so we have to be careful.

On semi's. Well the PnF index includes the equip and chipsters and it actually moved up into a column of X's but is still in bear confirmed status. Don't ask me I can't explain it. The best way to tell the cycle is over is AMAT. When it announces record earnings and the stock is not moving to new highs the cycle is over and its time to rotate out (actually the time would be a little before <g>).

With new foundrys and build outs I would think the cycle still has room to run (but many stocks are expensive). However if the SEC doesn't change its stance and requires companies to record sales after the equipment is accepted that will create a revenue and earnings issue which will impact the stock price. Companies and their cash flow will be fine but the stock is a separate issue.

GREAT - Your more bullish on ANCR and I don't own any <gg>. Of course CDTS's time is next year for revenue I'm always too early.

VLNC - its better to be cautious but we can still get a bounce next week.

ULBI had a good move on Friday. Hey maybe the battery makers will finally run. Thats a pipe dream.

I see one of my favorites WIND tanked at the end of the day on Friday.

At this rate I'll have to start buying KO & C.

Have a good weekend. Can you tell I'm becoming a net junkie plus I just don't want to work. Anyway its time to go home and see the wife and daughter.

Tim
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