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Gold/Mining/Energy : Scimitar Hydrocarbons, SIY:ASE

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To: Walter N. Schreiner who started this subject8/2/2000 1:38:10 AM
From: Blaumax  Read Replies (1) of 864
 
Talked to IR today. Looks like we're holding close to the 2000 BOPD level. That's even with certain wells being shut down for re-works/maintainance and such.

I did a comparison of our average production/share price from March 1999 vs today.

March 1999 411.80 BOPD/$0.185
August 1, 2000 1900 BOPD/$0.58

SIY's average production has gone up 361%
SIY's share price has gone up 214%

I also did a cash flow projection based on our current BOPD.

SIY is based off a $6.00 discount to Brent pricing
Today's Brent was $27.14USD - $6.00USD = $21.14USD
SIY keeps 75%
$21.14USD x 75% = $15.86USD
$15.86USD x 1.49 (todays rate) = $23.63CDN
$23.63CDN x 1900BOPD (last press release) = $44,897.00
$44,897.00 x 365 = $16,387,405.00
$16,387,405.00 / 38,983,142 (shares) = $.42/share cash flow
$.42 x 6 (average multiple) = $2.52 cash flow evaluation.

J., this looks to be in line from one of your previous posts regarding an analyst's view of where SIY's share price should be.

Should be an interesting month ahead of us. Hopefully, we'll start to see some interest pick up as we near the initiation of the Thermal project and Q2 results are released.
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