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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market

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To: Sonki who wrote (8122)11/16/1997 3:13:00 PM
From: Rational  Read Replies (2) of 18056
 
Sonki:

Maybe I can help you as I am an engineer converted to a finance person. <BG>

The valuation model is based on:

Value = EPS/(1+COC) + EPS*(1+G)/{(1+COC)^2} + EPS*(1+G)^2/{(1+COC)^3} + .... up to infinity.

This value is finite (the series is summable) if and only if G < COC. Thus, G=.15 with a COC of .05 is not sustainable in the long run. Either the COC has to go up or the assumption of 15% is wrong. In short, the mathematical value will be infinity in the example you have stated. Finance people will say that a growth rate of 15% and a COC of 5% is temporary.

But, for the sake of illustration, if G = 1% and COC = 5%, an EPS of $50 will give a value of 50/(.05 - .01) = $1250.

Sankar
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