Jason:
Relative performance with respect to the market depends strongly on the time frame. WCII is still up more than 100% with respect to its April 97 bottom. There are not too many stocks in the market which did that well in this time frame.
Regarding tying up your capital, the answer is that you do not get to play unless you are in the game. In other words, you do not know when WCII will rise (assuming it continues to execute well) It could be 4 months from now, or 3 months, or 5 months, but no one will tell us ahead of time. May be as a trader you can discern when an uptrend has started, based on TA, but personally, I am highly skeptical of TA, and prefer to rely on fundamental analysis.
Maybe Steve's target of $100 by Dec 99 is optimistic, but if WCII executes well, Steve will get $100 for his shares at some point (he may have to wait beyond 99 IMHO). In fact, if he can wait 6 or 7 years, he could see $200 or more, since the true payoff for WCII (large profits from a fully built out network) is further out.
Best regards,
Bernard Levy |