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Strategies & Market Trends : The Financial Collapse of 2001 Unwinding

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To: Snowshoe who wrote (823)5/25/2018 12:11:48 AM
From: elmatador   of 13793
 
Grain and soybean imports are 15% of Chinese consumption. If that stopped, due to a blockade, say, then China would have to turn vegetarian overnight.

ELMAT: Brazil share of China soy import market hits 53% in 2017

The China we (the US) are competing with is three hundred million moderately well off in the coastal provinces and another billion quite poor peasants further inland.

The one billion are more of a drag on the Chinese economy than a help. A lot of that four billion tons of coal per annum has to go to keeping them fed and clo
thed and warm.

This is the coal the author is talking about...

Chinese coal production of four billion tons per annum has the energy content of 50 million barrels of oil per day.

One of the reasons why Chinese goods are so cheap is that Chinese energy is cheap. Chinese academics have predicted that China's coal production will enter decline from 2020.

To stop their economy shrinking, the Chinese will be importing coal from then, possibly as much as 400 million tons per annum by 2030.

This equates to about a third of current world coal trade. Chinese oil production started its decline in 2014.

By comparison, the United States is likely to have continuing growth in oil production thanks to the Permian Basin

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