FOX ticker is 52/47 Bush. Cheer up, everybody!
Kerry Spot [ jim geraghty reporting ]
[ archives | email ]
November 2, 2004.
SOUTH CAROLINA [11/02 07:21 PM]
The fact that South Carolina hasn't been called for Bush,[EDIT- JUST CALLED FOR BUSH] when it probably could have been called that way a week ago, seems a little odd.
Heard from a good guy working at the blogosphere's least favorite network (hint: Dark Eye of Sauron) that "it looks like it's in Bush's column, based on exit polls ... Over Kerry by a wide margin ... don't know why it's 'insufficient,' though."
GOOD NEWS IN WISCONSIN? [11/02 07:04 PM]
The National Election Pool Survey, conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, is part of an exit polling effort by large media outlets, including the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and JS Online.com:
The numbers show 53% of those who have voted are female, 47% male, a balance that is leveling out from earlier in the day (see items below). Those who said they are voting for the first time account for 9%, higher than the 6% recorded mid-morning. The same four issues are at the top of the scales: Moral values (21%), terrorism (20%), Iraq (18%), economy/jobs (18%).
Those who say they are Republican account for 40% of the voters, Democrats
35% and independents 25%.
A slightly different breakdown: Conservative (32%), liberal (20%) and
moderate (47%).
Asked if the country is safer from terrorism than it was four years ago,
55% say yes, 43% say no.
I would not have predicted these numbers.
RED STATE ECHOING WHITE HOUSE/BC SOURCES [11/02 06:45 PM]
About a half hour back, I posted word that a senior Bush campaign official was saying, "Ohio is won, Florida is won, and Pennsylvania is tied." Then Shannon Coffin noted a White House source saying, "Confident that Bush will win OH and FL, that he will roll in WVa (ten points?) and that Mel Martinez will carry Florida."
Now some unnamed source is telling Red State is saying "it is over. Bush won. Ohio and Florida are secure."
Folks, we didn't like this when the networks did it in 2000, and so I would urge anyone who is still thinking of voting to go out and do it, whether the buzz is your guy is up or not. The GOP-heavy panhandle is voting until 7 central standard time, 8 pm Eastern. So there is no reason to not vote, no matter who you support.
UPDATE: Middle Cheese checks in again. "Just checked in with the White House and on the Bush-Cheney campaign. They are confident that they will win both Ohio and Florida."
He also says that the GOP has a list of documented Democratic voter intimidation cases longer than your arm. Or, longer than a John Kerry speech. Or, longer than John Edwards spends fussing with his hair. You get the idea. |
