Bret's comments about the exit polls reminds me that "Horserace" did a good post on the margin of error in them. Here is his latest Ohio/Florida update.
Another FL Panhandle
Good news...
Calhoun County
2004
Bush 3,780 0.6341
Kerry 2,116 0.3550
2K
Bush 2,873 0.5028
Gore 2,155 0.3771
Net 946 Votes
posted by Jay @ 9:15 PM 0 comments
Big News from Brevard County, FL
Big GOP stronghold...
"Bush net gain in votes over 2000 is 24,803 with 95.5% reporting. Bush 57.71% Kerry 41.50%"
posted by Jay @ 9:14 PM 0 comments
OH Update...
...
Bush wins Lake County 51%/49%. This is closer than in 2000, but voter turnout increased 20%, so the jury is still out on how much the net gain or loss is.
Seneca County: With 37% of the precincts reporting, Bush is up 6% over his 2000 results in this small rural county.
In the reporting Ohio Valley counties, while returns still early, Bush has increased his margin of victory by 2.08%
Erie County (West): With 43% of the precincts reporting Bush is up 9% over 2000 results. This is huge even in this small rural county.
Crawford County (West): Up over 5% for Bush over 2000 with 22% of the precincts reporting in this small rural county.
Bush holding steady in Central Ohio...currently winning 57.24% (58.87 in 2000).
Northeast: Bush is still up 7.68% relative to his 2000 percentage in this heavily Democratic area.
West Central Ohio: 3.34% ahead in Allen (relative to 2000)
1.66% ahead in Franklin (relative to 2000)
1.33% ahead in Hancock (relative to 2000)
0.68% ahead in Logan (relative to 2000)
-3.19% behind in Marion (relative to 2000) (very small data set)
2.83% ahead in Morrow Allen County (relative to 2000) (north central Ohio) is the only one close to completed, with 88% of the precints in. The total turnout is about 95% of last years there.
Mercer County (West): Bush is showing small gain in Mercer County with 26% of the precincts reporting. Bush up at 71% vs. 68% in 2000.
posted by Jay @ 9:02 PM 0 comments
My Hawkeye says Barone is Wrong on Broward...
...he says..."With 84% precincts reporting the vote Bush net vote increase over 2000 is 49,026!"
posted by Jay @ 9:00 PM 9 comments
More on SW Florida...
...
Bush Nets Votes in the Following Counties:
Desoto: 4,486
Pasco: 19,165
Desoto: 664
Hernando: 1,998
Kerry Nets Votes in
Charlotte: 692
Sarasota: 2,893
Lee: 900
posted by Jay @ 8:42 PM 1 comments
Bush Flips Osceola County
Blue in 2000...Red in 2004.
He nets 4,486 votes. Osceloa is the county south of Orlando. Gore won it with 51.12% in 2000. Bush is on track to win it with 51.72%
posted by Jay @ 8:38 PM 13 comments
Another Panhandle County...
...another big Bush boost.
This one is from tiny Layfayette County...Bush nets 733 votes, increasing his total by 7%.
posted by Jay @ 8:36 PM 1 comments
Bush closes gap in Monroe County...
...in the Southeast tip of Florida.
Bush nets 235 votes there relative to 2000.
posted by Jay @ 8:34 PM 1 comments
More Good OH News...
This one from West Ohio...
"With 23% of the precincts reporting, Darke County is up 5% over four years ago for Bush. 68% in this small rural county."
posted by Jay @ 8:23 PM 0 comments
Ditto for Central OH
results are quite preliminary...
Says one of my Hawkeyes..."With 10% of the vote in Franklin Co (Columbus), Bush is about 1% ahead of 2000. In Allen Co, he's about 5% ahead."
posted by Jay @ 8:22 PM 1 comments
The early word on West Central Ohio...
...Bush is beating his 2000 margins:
Bush + 3.34% in Allen County relative to 2000
+ 1.66% in Franklin County
+ 1.33% Hancock
+ 0.68% in Logan
-3.19% in Marion (very small data set)
+ 2.83% ahead in Morrow
posted by Jay @ 8:20 PM 0 comments
Early signs look good in NE Ohio
So far, Bush is doing 6.36% better than he did in 2000 there. Things are still early, but this is a good sign.
Note that Kerry must improve his margins in NE OH to win this election.
posted by Jay @ 8:18 PM 0 comments
Correction on Flagler...
...it has gone from blue to red.
Last time it went to Gore by 1,284 votes. This time it went to Bush by 1,061 votes.
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