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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.03-0.1%Dec 9 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (825)12/7/1998 10:57:00 PM
From: donald sew   of 99985
 
LG,

The more and more I look at the technicals for the longer term, the more I get mixed signals. For every positive sign I can give a negative sign.

I am now coming to the conclusion that for the next 2-4 months the DOW will be in a trading range, with the range as much as 1000 points but closer to the 800 range.

The DOW can go higher in this 2-4 month period, but I believe that the upside should be limited to 9600.

Any upward and downward movement should just shift the trading range.
For the next month, I strongly believe that the trading range be in the 9400-8600 range.

I just dont see a huge selloff, nor do I see a huge runup. What would make me change my position of a trading range is if there is a strong change in the market internals. NEW HIGHS would need to get back to the 150-300 range consistantly with strong improvement in A/D for me to turn bullish. For me to turn bearish the NEW LOWs would need to exceed 100 consistently with further deterioration in the other internals.

Seeya
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