9-month cycle
Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001
_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Sep 21, 01 start start start 965 none
Oct 17 green green green 1077 +112 1107 +142 N.A. N.A.
Nov 12 yellow green green 1118 + 41 1135 + 58 1053 - 24 82
Dec 7 red yellow green 1158 + 40 1173 + 55 1118 - 0 55
Jan 4, 02 green yellow green 1172 + 14 1176 + 18 1114 - 44 62
Jan 28 yellow red yellow 1133 - 39 1177 + 5 1117 - 55 60
Feb 22 red red yellow 1090 - 43 1138 + 5 1074 - 59 64
Mar 20 green green yellow 1152 + 62 1174 + 84 1074 - 16 100
Apr 15 yellow green yellow 1102 - 50 1156 + 4 1099 - 53 57
May 10 red yellow red 1055 - 47 1133 + 31 1049 - 53 84
Jun 5 green yellow red 1050 - 5 1106 + 51 1030 - 25 76
Jul 1 yellow red red 968 - 67 1050 + 0 953 - 97 97
Jul 26 red red red 853 -115 993 + 25 775 -193 218
Aug 21 green green green 949 + 96 951 + 98 833 - 20 118
Sep 16 yellow green green 891 - 58 965 + 16 870 - 79 95
Oct 11 red yellow green 848 - 55 902 + 11 768 -123 134
Nov 6 green yellow green 924 + 76 925 + 77 804 - 44 121
Dec 2 yellow red yellow 934 + 10 954 + 30 872 - 52 82
Dec 27 red red yellow 875 - 59 934 + 0 873 - 61 61
Jan 22, 03 green green yellow 878 + 3 935 + 60 869 - 6 66
Feb 18 yellow green yellow 851 - 27 890 + 12 806 - 72 84
Mar 14 red yellow red 833 - 18 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 9 green yellow red 866 + 33 905 + 72 827 - 6 78
May 5 yellow red red 926 + 60 934 + 68 863 - 3 71
May 30 red red red 963 + 37 965 + 39 912 - 14 53
Jun 25 green green green 975 + 12 1015 + 52 963 NC 52
Jul 21 yellow green green 979 + 4 1015 + 40 962 - 13 53
Aug 15 red yellow green 990 + 11 1004 + 25 961 - 18 43
Sep 10 green yellow green 1011 + 21 1032 + 42 983 - 7 49
Oct 6 yellow red yellow 1036 + 25 1040 + 29 1007 - 4 33
Oct 31 red red yellow
Nov 26 green green yellow
Dec 23 yellow green yellow
Jan 16, 04 red yellow red
Feb 11 green yellow red
Mar 8 yellow red red
Apr 2 red red red
Apr 28 green green green
May 24 yellow green green
Jun 18 red yellow green
Jul 14 green yellow green
Aug 9 yellow red yellow
Sep 3 red red yellow
Sep 29 green green yellow
Oct 25 yellow green yellow
Nov 19 red yellow red
Dec 15 green yellow red
Jan 10, 05 yellow red red
Feb 4 red red red
22-week cycle
Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11-weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22-weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22-weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55-weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22-weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 11-15, 03 22-weeks trough flat 990 next high 1040 on Sep 19 (week 5)
Oct 27-31, 03 55-weeks trough
Jan 12-16, 04 11 weeks
Mar 29-02, 04 22-weeks trough
Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks
Aug 30-03, 04 22-weeks trough
Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks
26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
sample size 9 Spring sample 5 Fall sample 4
total 231 weeks total 110 weeks total 121 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks
next approximate Dow trough
Jul 30, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample
Sep 10, 03 26 weeks average length in sample
Oct 8, 03 30 weeks average length in Fall sample
source of dates
timeanddate.com |
