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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications-News Only!!! (ASND)
ASND 209.30-1.8%Jan 6 3:59 PM EST

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To: blankmind who wrote (897)1/13/1998 8:41:00 AM
From: Gary Korn   of 1629
 
(COMTEX) WILLIAMS REINCARNATES CARRIER'S CARRIER BUSINESS WILLIAMS REINCARNATES CARRIER'S CARRIER BUSINESS Jan 12, 1998 (FIBER OPTICS NEWS, Vol. 18, No. 2) -- The Williams Companies' [WMB] launched its re-entry into the wholesale communications market Jan. 5, announcing some $1 billion worth of long-term customer agreements - including a nationwide, "anchor tenant" deal with U S West [USW] and a $260 million dollar deal with InterMedia Communications Inc. [ICIX]. Williams will offer capacity for half the cost of legacy players for comparable services, said Howard Janzen, president and chief executive officer of Williams' communications group. "We're building a network that operates at the lowest cost point." Williams also said it will upgrade its network with $150 million worth of ATM, frame relay, and network management equipment from Ascend Communications [ASND], as well as an acquisition of a 350-mile fiber cable linking Jacksonville and Miami, Fla. from MediaOne [UMG]. The announcements coincide with the expiration of a noncompete agreement with WorldCom [WCOM], which followed the $2.5 billion sale by Williams of most of its nationwide fiber optic network to the carrier in January 1995. Williams kept one fiber on the 11,000-mile network (currently the nation's 5th largest fiber network), and plans to expand it to 18,000 miles by the end of the year and ultimately 25,000 miles, spending some $1 billion Janzen said. Janzen says Williams can operate its network at lower cost points and out-price WorldCom because WorldCom is stuck with an antiquated legacy network, adding that selling the network to WorldCom allowed Williams to move forward with new technology on the fiber it kept. He also claims Williams has the edge on Qwest [QWST], because of superior technology decisions and more network in service today. Williams' technology choices fuel torrid debate over the best solution for the core network. ...Marketing Capacity "Williams has a different marketing strategy than we're seeing from any of the carriers out there," says Dataquest Chief Analyst Brett Azuma. Carriers such as Qwest, WorldCom, and the big three long distance carriers have a wholesale component to their retail business. The wholesale threat to the retail business of selling competitors capacity on the network creates an "internal battle full of angst," Azuma explains. Unburdened by angst, Williams intends to remain a carriers carrier, rather than offer retail services of its own. "It's our very core strategy," Janzen says. "We don't want to compete with our customers." "When people start offering to stuff money in their pockets," Azuma adds, it will be interesting to see whether Williams sticks to its guns. "They couldn't have picked a better time to re-enter the wholesale market," he concludes, citing rumors over the holidays that RBOCs may get into the long distance market in the foreseeable future. Speaking of data rates, Williams had a bundle of fibers running at 560 Mbps when it started out in the 1980s, points out Ryan Hankin Kent analyst Joe Savage. "With OC-192 and WDM, they'll have roughly equivalent capacity just on the fiber they have," he adds. "They'll be able to re-enter the marketplace quickly." ...The Network "We want to be a multiservice provider," says Gordon Martin, v.p. of sales and marketing for Williams Network. "With the configuration of Nortel optronics and Ascend core switches, there is no exclusivity [in protocol availability], and we're not blocked from next-generation upgrades." Although Williams recently signed up for $300 million worth of Nortel [NT] transmission equipment in September, the company went with Ascend for core switches. "We try to deploy the best technology available today for each piece of our network," Janzen explains. With acquired Cascade technology, Williams is convinced that Ascend offers the best core ATM switch available - although not necessarily the best edge switch, adds Martin, citing throughput, software, network management, and partitioning as key advantages. ...Big Switches Ascend will supply its GX 550 ATM core switches, which combine the scalability and capacity of a core switch with the intelligence, service capability, and cost-effectiveness of an edge switch, the company says. The core switch enables a multiservice, multi class network that handles different protocols with different degrees of reliability, explains Jeff Kiel, senior manager, product marketing for Ascend's core switch division. Along with other ATM and frame relay switches, the platforms will support more than two million connections, over 10 million cell buffers, and data rates from less than DS-0 to OC-48 (2.5 Gbps). Ascend has OC-192-capable ATM switches, Kiel says, but it is not shipping any product. Rounding out the network upgrade, Williams acquired fiber from MediaOne, which follows rights-of-way of the Florida East Coast Railway along the Atlantic coast. The segment enhances Williams' Southern build-out from Houston to Washington, D.C., via Atlanta. More construction is planned from Atlanta to Jacksonville. Williams will provide capacity back to MediaOne, and sell or exchange dark fiber, and lease capacity on the route. Addressing the fact that the Williams network is short on ring architecture, Martin says "SONET rings in your own network may not be the Holy Grail. You build a network to perform." For reliability, Martin says Williams will close up rings with future builds and exchanges with other carriers, as well as perform 1+1 linear restoration. ...Carriers Sign on for Backbone Capacity U S West is the first RBOC to sign up with Williams. The five- year deal is "a virtual acquisition of a dedicated nationwide backbone network," says Solomon Trujillo, U S West president and chief executive officer. "It's a key piece of the puzzle for both our data networking and inter-LATA voice business." The deal is an important step toward U S West's "data-centric" communications strategy and its impending entry into long-distance telecommunications, the company says. Trujillo lauds Williams' ability to build and operate a nationwide network, and says Williams' offer is very attractive in terms of other dedicated transport options. Trujillo did not disclose financial terms. ...Intermedia IRU Intermedia signed up for a 20-year indefeasible right of use of 2.5 Gbps on approximately 14,000 route miles of Williams planned network. The capacity will create 10 SONET rings in Intermedia's network. Intermedia plans to expand its ATM network from 22 major OC- 3 nodes to 35 OC-48 nodes by July. The Williams capacity enables Intermedia to dramatically improve bandwidth efficiencies and reliability, as well as reduce the cost of interexchange transport. The company expects the integrated voice and data services it delivers over the ATM network to be three to four times as cost-effective as those offered over circuit-switched networks. With Williams supplying a backbone fiber network, Intermedia gets access to high-capacity private line services, collocated equipment space at Williams facilities, and other carrier-level products. "We must devote considerable resources to managing relationships with a half dozen carriers," says David Ruberg, Intermedia chairman, president, and chief executive officer. "With this new agreement, we acquire the option to outsource our city-to- city network requirements to Williams and let them either provide us capacity directly or manage our overall network." ...Banging out Bandwidth The Williams activity "is another example that the world appetite for bandwidth is insatiable - and there's no end in sight," Ryan Hankin Kent's Savage concludes. (Jim Gipson, Williams, 918/588- 4740; Lucia Graziano, Ascend, 978/952-1291; Dave Banks, U S West, 303/896-3040; Tammy Snook, MediaOne, 904/619-3628; Chris Brown, Intermedia, 813/829-2408) Busting the Backbone With Williams [WMB] embracing an ATM and SONET strategy to handle multiple protocols on a national network, industry experts are weighing in on the fiber Jihad - a veritable holy war over the best strategy to carry IP, ATM, and SONET traffic on one network. Qwest [QWST], for instance, is working with Cisco [CSCO] and counting on Internet protocol (IP) equipment advances to usher in an all-IP network that carries all multimedia services. "The whole world is moving toward IP," says Nayel Shafei, Qwest's executive v.p., data products. Although he acknowledges that IP routers can't keep up with OC-192 SONET equipment, he predicts major advancements in routing rates this year. "The whole world has discovered that ATM is not for the backbone," Shafei says. He dismisses ATM as an attempt to resurrect circuit switching and characterizes major ATM deployments as "the last gasp of a dinosaur." "We believe there will be significant movement to IP traffic," says Gordon Martin, v.p. of sales and marketing for Williams Network. "But there is also voice, data, and video traffic that can run on high-end ATM." He concludes that "we would not articulate a pure IP or ATM strategy," but instead would enable both with the most efficient technology available. "For a backbone network, ATM is a pretty logical choice," says Dataquest Chief Analyst Brett Azuma. "It handles multiple media types at that scale relatively efficiently." Shying away from the "religious debate" over how to juggle IP, ATM, and SONET on a network, Azuma concludes that, "I think what Williams is doing plays more to the songbook that their clients have," citing RBOC preferences for ATM. "The revenue generating potential of ATM is better than double that of IP," claims Tom Nolle, president of consulting firm CIMI. Bucking astronomical IP traffic projections, he says that as margins on voice services fall, some 80 percent of carrier profit potential comes from IP applications, while IP traffic makes up 40 percent of network traffic. He sees Williams' use of ATM as a validation of ATM's ability to balance the revenue/traffic equation. Aggressively discounting the value of an IP backbone, he says that "the advantage that ATM has is really compelling," despite the fact that it was over-hyped in the early '90s. He cites ATM's ability to handle both legacy and new services as key advantages and questions IP's effectiveness at delivering voice and video. Although passed by on the ATM side by Williams, Nortel [NT] - which supplies both Qwest and Williams - is content with either IP or ATM strategy. "I think what's really clear is that you need a SONET network to underlie either one," says Greg Mumford, Nortel's general manager and v.p. for SONET networks. "We don't get religious on this," says Jeff Kiel, senior manager for product marketing for the core switch division at Ascend [ASND], a Cisco rival that also makes IP routers. "We will build products to meet our customers' needs." And customer needs may topple SONET's reign on the backbone. As customers drive ATM quality-of-service improvements, Williams' Martin makes clear that Williams Network will accommodate them - even if that means displacing SONET. A lot of people in the fiber space say high-capacity fiber eliminates the need for ATM," Nolle concludes. "The Williams buy convincingly demonstrates that glass is not enough." -0- Copyright Phillips Publishing, Inc.
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