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Technology Stocks : The New Qualcomm - a S&P500 company

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Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: Randall Knight who wrote (9030)	4/21/2000 3:52:00 PM
From: Dennis Roth	of 13582

>>Hence the recent Nokia press release touting GPRS as "3G".<< You mean like this one. iview1.newsedge-web.com Where they say. An early start in GPRS paves the way for success in 3rd Generation packet data networks, as it is an important cornerstone in moving toward mobile multimedia and 3G services. and GPRS is already part of the future 3rd Generation network infrastructure. So if GPRS is so much part of the 3G future why are operators bidding billions on new spectum and spending billions on an all new W-CDMA equipment? I suspect that first phase GPRS at 19.2kbps will be loudly proclaimed as the first step of 3G and 144kbps 1X, 300Kbps 1xMC, and 2.4 Mbps 1XHDR won't be. perhaps because they won't require billions in new capital equipment from European manufacturers. >> But I'm not sure I understand your point about commercial advantage. << Well this comes from my years of observation of the international standards process. It seems the Europeans always try to use their superior voting power in the ITU to twist standards so that if they don't advantage a European company they at least are not too near anything that is already available from a U.S or Asian manufacturer. They always want to force the pioneers back to the drawing board to buy time for themselves. I saw this repeatedly through the various iterations of modem standards as modem speeds and technology improved. If Rockwell had a chip set for it, then the standard would have to be different enough to send Rockwell back to the drawing board. The Euros always were paranoid about cheap Taiwanese modems made with U.S. chip sets so standards had to be set closer to something Alcatel was developing than something a U.S. or Asian manufacturer already had in the market. I wonder how they are going to react to the oncoming flood of cheap Taiwanese GSM phones made with U.S. chipsets? I guess its time for them to move on to UMTS.

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